MODEL PERUBAHAN TUTUPAN LAHAN BERBASIS CA-MARKOV: STUDI KASUS KECAMATAN TERNATE UTARA, KOTA TERNATE

North Ternate Sub-district is located in the center of City, making it a sub-district that has an increasing population every year. The increase certainly affects built-up land, which environmental damage, climate change and other socio-economic problems. This study aims to predict land cover 2003, 2013, 2023 2032 based on CA-Markov. research used CA-Markov method 2023. results showed 2032, annually experienced area, this influenced by population, need for settlement getting higher Agricultural non-agricultural open continue decrease area due conversion these types land. prediction are very useful government policies related sustainable spatial planning future.